Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.001346 0.001432 0.001521 0.001620 0.001726 0.001837 0.001962
2024-10-27 0.001223 0.001341 0.001467 0.001612 0.001774 0.001951 0.002157
2024-11-03 0.001101 0.001235 0.001383 0.001557 0.001758 0.001983 0.002256
2024-11-10 0.001045 0.001196 0.001365 0.001571 0.001814 0.002094 0.002444
2024-11-17 0.000982 0.001143 0.001328 0.001556 0.001833 0.002159 0.002575
2024-11-24 0.000944 0.001116 0.001317 0.001570 0.001883 0.002260 0.002753
2024-12-01 0.000891 0.001067 0.001275 0.001543 0.001879 0.002293 0.002846
2024-12-08 0.000849 0.001029 0.001246 0.001528 0.001889 0.002341 0.002957
2024-12-15 0.000814 0.000997 0.001221 0.001517 0.001902 0.002392 0.003072
2024-12-22 0.000787 0.000974 0.001206 0.001517 0.001927 0.002458 0.003208
2024-12-29 0.000756 0.000945 0.001182 0.001503 0.001933 0.002498 0.003311
2025-01-05 0.000731 0.000923 0.001165 0.001498 0.001950 0.002552 0.003433
2025-01-12 0.000694 0.000884 0.001128 0.001467 0.001935 0.002569 0.003512
2025-01-19 0.000669 0.000861 0.001111 0.001463 0.001955 0.002634 0.003664
2025-01-26 0.000629 0.000817 0.001063 0.001414 0.001912 0.002608 0.003680
2025-02-02 0.000615 0.000806 0.001060 0.001427 0.001956 0.002706 0.003885
2025-02-09 0.000592 0.000784 0.001040 0.001414 0.001961 0.002748 0.004007
2025-02-16 0.000580 0.000774 0.001037 0.001427 0.002003 0.002846 0.004218
2025-02-23 0.000556 0.000748 0.001010 0.001402 0.001989 0.002860 0.004298
2025-03-02 0.000538 0.000729 0.000992 0.001389 0.001992 0.002897 0.004416
2025-03-09 0.000521 0.000711 0.000976 0.001380 0.001998 0.002940 0.004546
2025-03-16 0.000509 0.000699 0.000966 0.001379 0.002019 0.003006 0.004715
2025-03-23 0.000493 0.000682 0.000950 0.001367 0.002020 0.003041 0.004834